Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.453378 0.532433 0.619173 0.721137 0.837428 0.965633 1.117367
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.335067 0.440729 0.568073 0.731634 0.934787 1.177373 1.487368
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.256975 0.373270 0.525248 0.735562 1.015755 1.372515 1.856803
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.206562 0.327546 0.497215 0.747456 1.100999 1.575551 2.252007
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.167639 0.288135 0.468300 0.749547 1.167869 1.755526 2.628802
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.132054 0.245518 0.425965 0.723217 1.187067 1.866542 2.915175
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.115006 0.228802 0.419555 0.748305 1.282102 2.091299 3.378986
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.100033 0.212372 0.410326 0.766241 1.365794 2.303658 3.838189
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.091993 0.206829 0.418221 0.812454 1.497765 2.598652 4.442522
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.078389 0.187735 0.398846 0.808397 1.544626 2.761037 4.849035
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.066207 0.168933 0.376876 0.796203 1.574964 2.896943 5.220004
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.056715 0.153852 0.359589 0.789938 1.613917 3.048238 5.623813
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.050386 0.144887 0.353774 0.805883 1.696260 3.282266 6.186874
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044253 0.135081 0.344731 0.814312 1.765376 3.498433 6.734301
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038601 0.125169 0.333852 0.817425 1.824177 3.699857 7.268328
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.034349 0.117955 0.327892 0.830000 1.902235 3.940926 7.886364
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.030066 0.109584 0.317810 0.832114 1.958926 4.145493 8.449867
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024858 0.097041 0.295327 0.803203 1.948321 4.221292 8.780828
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022932 0.094221 0.297085 0.830661 2.058994 4.537199 9.575951
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020876 0.090438 0.295683 0.850291 2.154137 4.828121 10.338828
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020156 0.091087 0.306451 0.900869 2.321396 5.271967 11.416543
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017611 0.084473 0.295784 0.896429 2.364654 5.468002 12.023719
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015142 0.077346 0.282348 0.883084 2.386038 5.619957 12.551482